Forecasting cumulative COVID-19 cases in Malaysia and rising to unprecedented levels
Background: COVID-19 outbreak is being studied throughout the world. Adding more analysis to date strengthening the information about the illness. Here, we analysis the data of Malaysian Ministry of Health from February 15, 2020 until January 10, 2021 was analysed using linear regression model statistical analysis with aim to forecast the trend.
Materials and Methods: This study reviewed the data by Malaysia Ministry of Health from February 15, 2020, until January 10, 2021. Linear regression model statistical analysis was used for predictive modelling. The forecasting of the linear trend of the Covid-19 outbreak prediction is purposed to estimate the number of confirm cases according to the number of recoveries patients.
Results: Malaysia is currently anticipating another lockdown restriction as new confirmed case of COVID-19 hit new record high. The cumulative confirmed Covid-19 cases in MCO predicted a sharp increase. At the first of March, 2021, the predicted cumulative confirmed Covid-19 cases are 319,477 cases.
Conclusions: Covid-19 cases projected to 315766 by end of February 2021 with 3000- 4000 daily cases predicted. Initiative and proactive measurement by Malaysian government hopefully can reduce the number of cases and flatten the infection curve.
Bangladesh Journal of Medical Science Vol.20(3) 2021 p.504-510
Copyright (c) 2021 Wan Muhamad Amir W Ahmad, Mohamad Arif Awang Nawi, Wan Mohd Nazlee Wan Zainon, Nor Farid Mohd Noor, Firdaus Mohd Hamzah, Farah Muna Mohamad Ghazali, Mohammad Khursheed Alam
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